Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight: Bernie has 50/50 shot at winning as Biden tanks

Nate Silver is no fan of Bernie's but says that Bernie (1in2) is more than twice as likely to win the primary as his nearest opponent, Joe Biden (1in5).

Mediaite:

Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) has roughly a 50/50 shot at winning the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination — more than double the probability of his nearest competitor — according to Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.

A forecast from FiveThirtyEight places Sanders’ odds at “1 in 2,” with former Vice President Joe Biden’s odds at “1 in 5,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) at “1 in 20,” and former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at “1 in 30.”

All other 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, including Mike Bloomberg, Andrew Yang, Tom Steyer, and Tulsi Gabbard, are placed at “1 in 100” odds.

Relevant Data from Nate Silver’s site:

Article submitted by, Avro Arrow.