Electoral College Study Shows Democrats at Surprising Disadvantage

A study by three economics researchers at the University of Texas has shown a very disturbing trend in electoral college victories, even when republicans lose the popular vote by as much as 6 points.  In an election where a party wins by 2% popular vote, you can expect the electoral college to reverse the decision 30% of the time.  In a 1% victory, this could be as high as 40% of the time.  Unfortunately this “inversion” is giving the advantage to Republicans, who are expected to win 65% of the time when the popular vote is close. The study even shows that republicans have a 50% chance of winning when they have earned less than 50% of the popular vote.

The Electoral College skews elections by giving a structural advantage to small states. Each state receives a number of electoral votes equal to the number of United States House of Representatives members from that state, plus two. These two additional votes effectively triple the voting power of the smallest states, while having only a negligible impact on the voting power of large states.


Article submitted by, PMSwithESP.

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